@edgeorhype · we test the claims
Trading claims,
tested.
Someone online says a strategy beats the market. We turn the claim into exact rules, run it on real market history, and compare it with simply holding the S&P 500. Then we say which it is.
@edgeorhype · we test the claims
“This one moving-average rule beats the market.”
A popular trading video says this works. We tested it.
the strategy just holding the S&P 500
The lab so far
41 claims in. Here’s how they held up.
beat holding the S&P 500 after costs, with solid evidence
did not, once costs and a fair comparison were counted
the rules never produced a single trade in the test
could not be turned into exact, testable rules
From our test records, October 21, 2026. Counts change as new claims come in and old ones are re-run on the current test engine.
Method
How a claim gets its verdict.
- 01
Pin down the claim
We restate what the video says in plain words. We never name, show or link the person who made it.
- 02
Write exact rules
When to get in, when to get out, which stocks and funds, and over which dates. No room for “you had to be there”.
- 03
Run it on real history
Every trade the rules would have made, at the next day’s real prices, with trading costs taken off.
- 04
Compare it fairly
Against simply holding the S&P 500 over the same dates, with the same share of money at work. A strategy that sits in cash most of the time is compared with a matching slice of the index.
EDGE only when the evidence is strong or moderate and the rules beat the S&P 500 after costs over the same dates.
HYPE everything else, including results that look great until the costs and the comparison are counted.
House rules
What you will never see here.
- A promise of returns, or a tip to buy or sell anything.
- Ticker shout-outs, paid groups, courses or links to anyone’s channel.
- A creator named, shamed or called a scam. We test claims, not people.
- A number that did not come from the test record.
Our films are narrated by an AI voice and say “education, not financial advice” in the first seconds and on screen throughout. Past results, tested or not, do not predict future returns.
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